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Copulas & conventions

Probability measures, distribution functions, and the basic examples.

Mathematical exposition. Article verification status is recorded separately in the coverage maps.

A joint distribution with uniform margins

Take a random pair (U,V)(U,V) whose two coordinates are uniform on [0,1][0,1]. Its law μC\mu_C is a bivariate copula measure. The associated distribution function is

C(u,v)=P(U≤u, V≤v)=μC([0,u]×[0,v]).C(u,v)=\mathbb{P}(U\leq u,\ V\leq v)=\mu_C([0,u]\times[0,v]).

These are two representations of one object. An article often starts with CC; the Lean library starts with the probability measure and derives its CDF. The distinction matters whenever an argument integrates against the copula itself.

The formal representation

ProbabilityTheory.Copula stores a probability measure on Fin d → I, with a proof that every coordinate has the uniform law. Here I is mathlib’s unit interval. The bivariate case has dimension 2.

-- The library's mathematical object:
ProbabilityTheory.Copula 2

The CDF module connects this representation to distribution functions. Two useful starting points are cdf_nonneg and cdf_one. Their documentation displays the precise types and hypotheses.

Three reference copulas

The classical examples provide quick normalization checks:

Copula Distribution function Interpretation
Π\Pi Π(u,v)=uv\Pi(u,v)=uv Independent coordinates
MM M(u,v)=min⁡(u,v)M(u,v)=\min(u,v) The law of (U,U)(U,U)
WW W(u,v)=max⁡(u+v−1,0)W(u,v)=\max(u+v-1,0) The law of (U,1−U)(U,1-U)

For every bivariate copula, the Fréchet–Hoeffding inequalities read

W(u,v)≤C(u,v)≤M(u,v).W(u,v)\leq C(u,v)\leq M(u,v).

These examples also expose a common trap: MM and WW are concentrated on lines and have no two-dimensional density. A density-based argument needs its own hypotheses; it cannot silently cover every copula.

Fix the convention before proving the statement

A formalization should say which coordinate is conditioned on, whether a derivative is understood almost everywhere, and which measure is used in each integral. Endpoint parameters and singular limits deserve explicit treatment.

For the dependence-family article, also distinguish conditional increase in both directions from a one-direction stochastic monotonicity assumption, and total positivity of a density from total positivity of a CDF. The 2024 supplement records these correspondence questions before any article result is marked verified.

For the paper’s conventions and family tables, see Ansari & Rockel, arXiv:2310.17307v3. The generated reference documents the imported portion of the pinned copula library, alongside the paper modules.